Richard Roeper Blog

Oscar nominations Thursday–my predictions today

Here we go!


“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”

“The Dark Knight”



“Slumdog Millionaire”

(Does “Wall-E” have the momentum to crack the Top Five? Probably not, as voters know they can nominate it for Best Animated Feature, where it will win in a landslide over “Bolt” and “Kung Fu Panda.” Or “Space Chimps.” Just kidding about the chimps.)



Anne Hathaway, “Rachel Getting Married”

Sally Hawkins, “Happy Go Lucky”

Melissa Leo, “Frozen River”

Meryl Streep, “Doubt”

Kate Winslet, “Revolutionary Road”

(I’m still holding out hope for Kristin Scott-Thomas in “I’ve Loved You So Long.” This was my favorite performance by any actress this year. But she seems to be falling off the radar.)



Clint Eastwood, “Gran Torino”

Frank Langella, “Frost/Nixon”

Sean Penn, “Milk”

Brad Pitt, “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”

Mickey Rourke, “The Wrestler”

(Richard Jenkins deserves a nod, but I’m afraid not enough Academy voters found the time or interest to spin their screener of “The Visitor.”)



Danny Boyle, “Slumdog Millionaire”

David Fincher, “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”

Ron Howard, “Frost/Nixon”

Christopher Nolan, “The Dark Knight”

Gus Van Sant, “Milk”



Josh Brolin, “Milk”

Robert Downey Jr., “Tropic Thunder”

Philip Seymour Hoffman, “Doubt”

Heath Ledger, “The Dark Knight”

Dev Patel, “Slumdog Millionaire”

(Darkhorse candidate: Michael Shannon, “Revolutionary Road”)



Penelope Cruz, “Vicky Cristina Barcelona”

Viola Davis, “Doubt”

Taraji P. Henson, “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”

Marisa Tomei, “The Wrestler”

Kate Winslet, “The Reader”

(Winslet’s character disappears for a good period of of time–but it’s still a lead performance. The sixth contender here is Amy Adams for “Doubt.”)



Woody Allen, “Vicky Cristina Barcelona”

Dustin Lance Black, “Milk”

Jenny Lumet, “Rachel Getting Married”

Robert D. Siegel, “The Wrestler”

Andrew Stanton and Jim Reardon, “Wall-E”



Simon Beaufoy, “Slumdog Millionaire”

David Hare, “The Reader”

Peter Morgan, “Frost/Nixon”

Eric Roth, “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”

John Patrick Shanley, “Doubt’

(The Nolan brothers might get a nod for “The Dark Knight.” Dominant theory on the Internet: Eric Roth plugged in his “Forrest Gump” screenplay to his “Benjamin Button” script. There are myriad mirror elements in the two stories.)

4 Responses to “Oscar nominations Thursday–my predictions today”

  1. Jerry Unangst Says:

    I really want to see Mickey Rourke win. He’s the epitome of the classic ‘Hollywood come-back’ story.

  2. Eames Kolar Says:

    I kind of wish there were more dark horses out there, for the academy voters to flex their ever-growing “indie”-muscle. I have a feeling that there just wont be all to many surprises tomorrow morning. It’s a shame that two very overrated movies “…Benjamin Button” and “Frost/Nixon” have to comprise such a large bulk of the nominations. I long for the day when the oscars can abandon these obligatory “conservative’ votes for movies by Ron Howard and the like…

  3. Miedy Says:

    Hey, Richard. How about Michelle Williams performance for Wendy and Lucy? I think she also deserves to get nominated as well, she was just so amazing on it. I can only hope..

  4. Alejandro Carrillo Says:

    I hope Richar Jenkins makes it to the final five, i deserves it so much!! Crossed fingers from Venezuela!!

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